Our tipster Jones Knows returns ahead of Saturday’s Premier League action and wants to back Leeds, Nottingham Forest and Leicester.
Leeds vs Bournemouth, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
When Jesse Marsch teams get on a roll, it should prove profitable to follow them.
Marsch is a boss that thrives on the emotion of the game, a little too much at times for some but I’m all for wearing your heart on your sleeve. Consistency will remain an issue in the long-term, but Leeds play with a very risk-reward style when clicking and this might just be the game they go ‘bang’ against such a limited opponent. Bournemouth are regressing back to the mean of their expectations now after an early burst of results under Gary O’Neil.
They were battered from pillar to post in the second half last weekend at home to Spurs, conceding 19 corners across the 90 minutes. That’s the most conceded in a Premier League game since Opta started collecting the data in 2010.
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Wolves vs Brighton, Saturday 3pm
Wolves are probably a little too big at 12/5 with Sky Bet but I’m bored of anticipating a change of fortune with their results. Brighton can’t be trusted as favourites, either, so a low-scoring draw makes sense from a match prediction perspective.
Time for some more Solly March madness again then. The algorithms used to price up player shot prices have eased March out to a very backable Evens with Sky Bet for two or more shots.
March has managed just three in his last three games but two of those fixtures were against Manchester City and Chelsea. His influence for Brighton and the attacking licence he is given down the right where he can cut in onto his left peg still makes him a player to follow in the shots lines when the price is right.
In 12 appearances this season, he is averaging 2.08 shots per-90 minutes and should fancy his chances up against inexperienced Wolves full-back Hugo Bueno, who looks a great technician but not necessarily one in love with defending one-on-one. The two or more shots line is worth considering and three or more (3/1) and four or more (17/2) also worth a tickle.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Everton vs Leicester, Saturday 5.30pm, live on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Stream this game with a NOW pass ” data-caption=”FREE TO WATCH: Highlights from Leeds’ win against Liverpool in the Premier League.” data-clip-type=”” data-component-name=”sdc-site-video” data-competition=”” data-copy-url-text=”URL copied to clipboard” data-fn=”sdc-site-video” data-id=”id_23d043dd-b00b-4682-9717-ab9e5c3ed0b5″ data-is-live-stream=”false” data-lite=”true” data-options=”” data-originator-id=”50″ data-originator-handle=”brightcove-plclips-gb” data-package-name=”” data-provider=”brightcove” data-player-id=”FkTAlw1HuO” data-sensitive=”false” data-sdc-id=”5948098″ data-sdc-video-id=”23d043dd-b00b-4682-9717-ab9e5c3ed0b5″ data-sport-category=”” data-state=”loading” data-video-ad-unit=”football/premier-league-clips” data-video-blacklisted-originator-ids=”” data-video-id=”ref:23d043dd-b00b-4682-9717-ab9e5c3ed0b5″ data-video-type=”” data-auto-pause-on-not-visible=”” tabindex=”-1″>
FREE TO WATCH: Highlights from Leeds’ win against Liverpool in the Premier League.
The 4/6 with Sky Bet on the home win seems fair enough and most certainly is one for those that like to play the traditional match accumulators. But I think you can get greedier than that and take the 2/1 for Leeds to win by more than one.
