After finding some big-priced winners last weekend, our tipster Jones Knows is back and he feels Arsenal will show Liverpool they are the real deal on Super Sunday, while providing betting angles and predictions across the weekend Premier League card.
Bournemouth vs Leicester, Saturday 3pm
Remember when I tipped Leicester to finish top six this season? A sackable offence, probably.
But, like Brendan Rodgers, I have ducked and dived to great effect. Rodgers’ team remain an attacking force to be reckoned with when on song – as seen in the comfortable win over Nottingham Forest. Harvey Barnes and James Maddison are players with Champions League quality, capable of extreme moments of game changing at any point, while Leicester’s run of scoring in 27 of their last 28 away games is pretty extraordinary for a team that have struggled.
Now, at the start of the season if you were offering me 11/10 on Leicester beating Bournemouth away from home, I’d have snapped your hand off, snapped your other hand off and taken both legs for dessert. Have things changed too much from when the first ball was kicked? Bournemouth are tougher to beat now but remain the worst team in the Premier League according to the metrics, losing all four of the expected goals battles under Gary O’Neil.
When adding it all up, it’s hard not to get excited over the prospects of Barnes and Maddison playing central roles in an away win.
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Maddison now has 14 goal involvements in his last 11 Premier League appearances – only Harry Kane, Erling Haaland and Kevin De Bruyne have produced a heftier output. Of those 14 involvements, nine have been goals, identifying him as Leicester’s most dangerous attacking weapon.
He did us a favour by scoring first last weekend at 6/1 and his price of 7/2 with Sky Bet for him to score in an away win here is too big to turn down. Backing Barnes also at 5/1 to score in an away win makes perfect financial sense. When fit, he is a player capable of an England call and is very direct in his approach, which always makes him an option in the shots and goals markets.
He is averaging 3.19 shots per-90 minutes in 2022 to a goal ratio of one every 0.35 games, a statistic that makes him the 26th most clinical attacker in the entire Premier League of players to have played 1,000 minutes since January 1.
A player with that record makes significant appeal not only in his goalscorer price but also his shot chances, where he is priced up at 5/6 with Sky Bet to have three or more and 2/1 for four or more. Take your pick on an array of options involving Maddison and Barnes or go for the jackpot of both to score in a Leicester win at 14/1 with Sky Bet.